The 21 Hats Morning Report

The 21 Hats Morning Report

I Think We’re in a Recession Now

In our latest podcast episode, the business owners talk about what they can do to prepare for a recession that seems increasingly likely.

Loren Feldman's avatar
Loren Feldman
Mar 18, 2025
∙ Paid

Good Morning!

Here are today’s highlights:

  • The Trump administration is scrambling to come up with a plan for reciprocal tariffs by April 2.

  • You probably don’t have to worry about being audited by the IRS (and neither do big corporations).

  • A Ukrainian restaurant on the front lines continues to do what it takes to serve sushi.

  • Thomas Moser, who sold armchairs that cost $2,730, saw value in different terms: His furniture was meant to serve multiple generations.

THE 21 HATS PODCAST

I Think We’re in a Recession Now: This week, Mel Gravely tells Shawn Busse and Jay Goltz that he believes we will eventually find out that the U.S. economy has already slipped into a recession. The funny thing about recessions is that they can start and even end before the GDP numbers make it official, which leads us into a conversation about what businesses can do to prepare for a possible recession. Mel, for example, says his team is checking in on everyone and everything: suppliers, customers, and employees. We also discuss why a lot of pricing models no longer work, why some businesses have never fully recovered from the pandemic, and how Mel turned around a facilities-management business that was losing $1 million a year.

  • Plus: the owners debate the relative merits of planning to fund your retirement by investing in a 401(k) vs. by selling your business.

  • You can subscribe to the 21 Hats Podcast wherever you get podcasts.

Listen to the Podcast

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