The 21 Hats Morning Report

The 21 Hats Morning Report

The Hope-and-Prayer Strategy

Customs warehouses allow importers to bring in goods and store them without paying tariffs—in the hope that maybe the tariffs will go away.

Loren Feldman's avatar
Loren Feldman
Apr 30, 2025
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Good Morning!

Here are today’s highlights:

  • A $50 device will record everything you say and send you summaries of your life.

  • ChatGPT is adding shopping features.

  • The economy contracted in the first quarter, and a “challenging scenario” looms ahead.

  • The immigration crackdown is starting to have an impact on Boston-area employers.

THE TRADE WARS

Customs warehouses are booming: “The White House’s trade war is forcing a growing number of U.S. businesses into a painful choice between paying skyrocketing tariffs or waiting for tariff rates to drop—and hoping their supplies don’t run out in the meantime. Some firms, though, are choosing a third option: buying goods and then storing them in special offshore warehouses. Customs bonded warehouses are in high demand, said Cindy Allen, a customs broker and CEO of Trade Force Multiplier. ‘That’s what I call the hope-and-prayer strategy,’ she explained. ‘You bring goods, you don’t pay the duty, you hope that it’s gonna go down—you hedge your bets.’

  • “Bonded warehouses are secure storage facilities where imported goods can be held without paying duties or taxes until the goods are officially released into the market or exported. Allen, who has over 35 years of experience in international trade, is a former DHL and FedEx executive and previously held leadership roles in the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency.”

  • “She has recently dealt with firms, mostly small to mid-sized businesses, that have halted imports, canceled orders, or left their orders in China. ‘I’ve heard companies say, When I ordered this, the duty rate was 2.5 percent and now it’s 145 percent; I can’t afford that,’ she said, adding she has detected a sense of desperation among companies willing to take a risk in paying for storage rather than swallowing exorbitant duty fees.”

  • “For those who do roll the dice on storing the goods, the bonded warehouse option is still not cheap, however, and entails more paperwork and legal considerations.” READ MORE

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